Here is my 2012 United States presidential election projection. President Obama: 332 electoral votes … My outlier state is Florida. I think Obama will win Florida. Mitt Romney: 206 electoral votes.
If the next Republican nominee pushes a platform that includes comprehensive immigration reform, including some form of legalization mechanism for current undocumented immigrants, then the party has a good chance of picking away a large number of Hispanics from the Democratic Party. The party could take the teeth out of the immigration issue entirely by compromising with President Obama on immigration during the next term.
Marc Ambinder has some advice for the GOP